This past week, November 30, began the first of three passages
of Jupiter in a waning trine to Neptune in air signs. The
second passage will take place on March 14, 2005 (the retrograde
Jupiter period), and the third and final passage will take
place on August 17, 2005, as the ISAR 2005 biennial conference
begins (www.isarastrology.com). In the study of astrology,
this signature would be considered a very favorable, euphoric,
sociable, philosophical, spiritual, romantic, and exciting
psychological principle. It can also be conducive for world
peace efforts. In air signs, it favors exchange of thoughts
that are mutually stimulating.
Jupiter-Neptune
is a 13-year planetary-pair cycle. It doesn’t
always happen in a 3-passage series. In most cases it is
a single passage event, as was the case on August 9, 1992,
August 3, 1979, and August 2, 1966. Each of those periods
coincided with the end of long-term cycles in U.S. stocks
(and other markets) within two months. The 1966 instance
was nearby to the end of 4-year cycle trough in U.S. stocks
on October 10, 1966, ending an 8-month decline. The 1979
instance coincided with the double top to a 22.5-month cycle
crest on October 5. And the 1992 instance also coincided
with a 22.5-month cycle crest on October 5. In each case,
the single passage aspect of this 13-year planetary-pair
cycle unfolded in August, and the trend of the market cycle
ended October 5-10, two months later. In the current case,
we also have a passage that unfolds in August, 2005, 13 years
after the prior instance. This would suggest something of
significance in the U.S. stock market could culminate in
October 2005, depending on what the trend is into that period.
But it is not only the U.S. stock market that seems to
correlate with this signature. In August 1992, the Japanese
Nikkei stock index completed a nine-year cycle trough at
14,194, down a whopping 63.5% from the all-time high of 38,957
made on December 29, 1989. August 1992 was also just 6 months
before the 18-year cycle trough in Silver, and 8.5-month
cycle low in Gold. And if we go back to the passage before
that, in August 1979, we will note that it was just 5 months
prior to the all-time high in Gold and Silver, when they
soared to $850.00 and 50.00 respectively in January 1980.
The end of long-term cycle trends can be noted in various
currency and grain markets very close in time to the 1992
and 1979 Jupiter-Neptune instances too. The point is that
this signature appears to have a strong correlation to the
end of trends in many financial markets, within 6 months.
The last three instances were single passage types. This
time we have a series of three passages of this aspect, which
unfolds over a period of 9 months. In our research presented
in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 2: Geocosmic
Correlation to Investment Cycles, it is obvious that long-term
cycles tend to culminate most often between the first and
last passage of a three-passage series. In terms of the current
U.S. and world stock indices, we can anticipate that the
crest of the 4-year cycle will occur between November 2004
and August 2005, with a possibility of extending to October.
And
speaking of Jupiter and Neptune… notice
what has been happening in Crude Oil. Jupiter and Neptune
co-rule
crude oil. From a high of 55.65 on October 27, crude oil
futures have plunged to the 42.00 area. Readers might remember
that we reported a few weeks ago that if crude oil prices
are rising into a U.S. Presidential election, they top out
around mid-October before the election, and then sell off
at least 15% into January following the election. That correlation
did not fail us. It worked exactly as it has worked in the
past.
Not
only did Jupiter form a waning trine to Neptune last Tuesday,
but it was also the date that
Mercury began its
retrograde motion, which will last through December 20. This
is seldom a time band that is easy to trade, regardless of
what method of analysis one uses. Fundamental news, like
economic reports or political announcements, tends to be
contradictory, causing confusion in the investment community.
Technical studies defining support and resistance tend to
not be reliable, as prices either exceed those levels slightly
(as in “false break outs”), or fail to get there
altogether. For these reasons our motto is to “take
profits quickly” during Mercury retrograde. Don’t
wait around for a market to complete a pattern or a price
target, or to continue in the direction of a “breakout” of
support or resistance for very long.
Last
week’s markets were fascinating in yet another
way by means of astrology. For instance, we note that all
the major European currencies soared to new all-time or multi-year
highs against the U.S. Dollar, while Gold continued making
a new 16-year high. Each of these markets is in a “blow-off” pattern,
which is where long-term resistance zones keep breaking down.
We expect short-term support and resistance to fail during
Mercury retrograde periods, but not necessarily long-term
ones. The astrological correlate to long-term resistance
breaking down usually corresponds to the presence of Jupiter
aspects and/or several planets in the sign that Jupiter rules,
which is Sagittarius. The Jupiter-Sagittarius principle can
pertain to the dynamic of exaggeration, over-optimism, over-confidence,
and over-reaching. It is a principle that can exceed or overstep
any boundary. That is what is occurring in these markets
today (as well as politics), especially over the past 1-2
weeks. Prices continue to break above resistance, and the
sense is that they will never stop. And coincident with this “exaggeration” development
is Jupiter in waning trine to Neptune, as well as the Sun,
Mercury, and Pluto all in Sagittarius. Mercury, in fact,
just went retrograde in Sagittarius. Now just as Sagittarius
and Jupiter can correlate with “blow offs” to
the upside, they can also correlate with extremely sharp
moves to the downside when these markets do reverse. Extremes
in both directions are possible, especially when Venus and
Mars also move into Sagittarius, on December 16 and 25 respectively.
It will still be a lot of Sagittarius, but a different kind
of Sagittarius, because the Sun will also switch signs then
- to Capricorn – through most of January. Also, Mars
in Sagittarius is a time when geopolitical troubles tend
to erupt around Israel and her neighbors, and stock markets
usually don’t like that. It will be difficult, even
for an astrologer, to pick the exact moment when this “over-reaching” and “blow-off” in
currencies and precious metals will end, with so many Jupiter-Sagittarian
factors currently in effect. But when it does end, the reversal
and hysteria to the downside might be just as extreme as
the optimism and euphoria was to the upside. There is a lot
of money to be made in the market at this time, and lot to
also be lost in the next few weeks. That’s the nature
of so much Jupiter-Sagittarius at the same time, and especially
when Mercury retrograde is also in effect, producing a trail
of contradictory messages from our political and economic
leaders.
There
are no major geocosmic signatures unfolding next week.
This huge time band of geocosmic signatures
(November
4-December 5) thus comes to an end, which means the “blow-off” could
be ending this Monday, or else it continues into the week
after. We note that new multi-year highs occurred last week
the Australian All Ordinaries, the German DAX index, the
S&P, and the NASDAQ Composite. A challenge to the yearly
high in the Dow Jones Industrials may be in progress too,
but Friday’s high of 10,643 was still over 100 points
off the 10,753 level of last February, and it sold off a
bit into the close. Thus intermarket bearish divergence remains
in effect. And other markets did not look so strong at all,
like the Swiss stock index, the London FTSE, or even the
Netherlands AEX, all of which could be pointed lower. In
fact, only the Argentina Merval stock index looks promising
right now, having recently completed a low of some importance.
Japan’s market could go either way, but if the Nikkei
doesn’t exceed 11,270 this week, I think it could fall
over 1000 points into January.
Announcement:
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This unique overview of each year covers forecasts and critical
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Wheat and Crude Oil markets. Plus it provides astrological
insights into the U.S. and World Economy, as well as the
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Disclaimer
and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is
not to predict the future movement
of various financial
markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman
Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not
a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those
cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating
this column from English into a non-English language. This
weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader
on the relationship between astrological factors and collective
human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this
report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock
and financial markets throughout the world in the past week,
and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author’s understanding
of how these signatures will likely affect human activity
in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this
from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at
the military, political, economic, and even financial markets
of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be
made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is
to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological
climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The
hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological
dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events
and hence financial markets of the day.
No
guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely
the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author
nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for
those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high
risk.
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