By the time you read this week’s column,
it will be a New Year, in the middle of the first decade
of the new
century. And as I have stated many times before, I think
this may be the moist important decade of this new century.
On behalf of all of us at MMA, and the staffs of the 8
web sites that carry this weekly column in 6 different languages
throughout the world, may you have a very joyous and prosperous
New Year!
Review:
Last week’s report stated, “The bullish seasonality
of this holiday period comes to an end this week. And as
it ends, a very powerful – and potentially dangerous – Level
1 geocosmic signature takes place… Mars in a square
aspect to Uranus can be an explosive situation, both figuratively
and literally. It is considered an accident-like dynamic
in astrology.” In retrospect, that was an understated
description of the tragic reality the world experienced.
The earthquake and Tsunami of December 26 in the Pacific
Rim rank as the greatest natural disaster in history in terms
of loss of human lives.
Although I did not specifically forecast
an earthquake or Tsunami in this column, the Mars-Uranus
signature of December
30-31 certainly has a dynamic that fits within the realm
of such a possibility. It is especially apropos because Uranus
(shocking, earthquakes) is in Pisces (the ocean, and tidal
waves) through 2010, and Mars (accidents) is in a square
formation (tension) to it. This particular aspect can have
an orb of influence of up to two weeks. But the possibility
of such a shocking event could have been (was) especially
pronounced on December 26 in that region of the world, as
it was the day of a full moon and Mars making its ingress
into Sagittarius. As stated last issue, “Mars is now
ingressing into Sagittarius, December 25 through February
6. Historically this has coincided with increased dangers
and hostilities in the Middle East, especially in regards
to Israel and her neighbors.” But the dangers during
this period don’t have to be limited to just Israel
and her neighbors, although we certainly see this geopolitical
tension unfolding as well, especially with the increased
insurgency attacks in Iraq.
For the record, page 55 of Forecasts for
2004 book stated: “December
30-January 2: fires, high winds, possible earthquakes or
hurricanes.”
In terms of equity markets around the world, the end-of-the
year seasonality kept most near their highs of the year,
as expected. In Europe, the German DAX and London FTSE made
new 2-1/2-year highs last week at 4272.20 and 4826.20 respectively,
and closed not far from those highs. The Netherlands AEX
matched its high of July 1, 2004 at 348.70 last week, but
is still below the highs of earlier in the year. The same
with the Swiss stock index, which rose to 5713 last week,
a shade below the 5720 level of November 15, and well below
levels of the first half of last year. Even though all these
indices closed near their recent highs, there remains the
case of Intermarket bearish divergence, as some made new
yearly highs last week, and others did not. This is important
given the fact that this is now a geocosmic critical reversal
zone.
In
the Pacific Rim, the Australian All Ordinaries index rallied
to yet another new all-time high last week, reaching
4057, and closing at 4053. The Japanese Nikkei soared to
11,501 last Wednesday, its highest level since July, but
still below its yearly high of 12,196 last April. The Hang
Seng of Hong Kong got to 14,333 on Wednesday, which is virtually
a double top to the 14,339 level of December 2. All of these
indices closed near their highs of the week.
In America, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
made a new 3-1/2-year high last week when it touched 10,868
on Monday.
So did the NASDAQ Composite, as it hit 2182.40 on Thursday.
And S&P futures made a new multi-year high on Friday,
before all sold off into the close of the week, thus creating
a solid case of intermarket bearish divergence, in a critical
reversal zone. The Argentina Merval index also made a new
decade high at 1408 last week as well.
In other markets, the Euro also made a new all-time high
last week, and the Dollar fell to a new 20+-year low. But
the Euro started to sell off on Friday, giving a bearish
trigger for the coming week. Gold and Silver did not fare
so well, as Gold fell to its lowest level in 3 weeks. Gold
will generally follow the currencies (opposite the U.S. Dollar).
Short-Term Outlook:
Looking at past years, there are several
instances where currencies rallied to new multi-year highs
into the end of
a year. In almost all cases, those rallies ended between
the last week of the year, and the first two weeks of the
New Year, and were followed by substantial declines. It will
be interesting to see what happens to all of these markets
next week, as the first trading day of the New Year is the
midpoint of a current geocosmic cluster. A sharp decline
in both stocks and currencies (vis-à-vis the U.S.
Dollar) is possible, as suggested by these signatures.
The major geocosmic signature in effect
is the Mars-Uranus waning square aspect of December 31.
As stated last week,
this signature “has a 77% historical correlation to
primary or greater cycles within 13 trading days (and 64%
correlation within 11 trading days). It also begins a series
of signatures that lasts through January 13, making this
a legitimate “cluster zone.” Thus, the holiday
rallies may be coming to a screeching halt in the first few
days of the New Year.”
Also next week we find Venus conjunct Pluto on January 3,
and the Sun in a waxing square to Jupiter on January 7. Venus-Pluto
signatures relate to issues of debt, which typically has
a direct impact upon treasury and currency markets. It is
another reason why I believe currencies may be close to a
substantial reversal. This Sun-Jupiter is a Level 1 rated
signature, and has a 67% correlation to primary or greater
cycles in U.S. stock indices. Psychologically, it relates
to the dynamic of over-estimation and exaggeration. Perhaps
investors will realize that stock values are too high, and
this period correlates with a primary cycle crest. If so,
look for a rather sharp 2-5 week decline to commence, and
the early part could contain rather big range down days.
On January 9, both Venus and Mercury leave the bullish sign
of Sagittarius, and enter the more sobering and realistic
sign of Capricorn for a few weeks.
Long-Term Thoughts:
Mars is now in Sagittarius, December 25
through February 6. Historically this has coincided with
increased dangers
and hostilities in the Middle East. Amidst such signatures,
crude oil prices are vulnerable to sudden and sharp spikes
up in price. Volatility may also be noted in both precious
metals and equity markets. It is a dynamic of trying to do
too much, of over-reaching, and a temptation to take great
risks. Actions of leaders can be very bold and brazen, which
can lead to unfounded boasts and then aggressive actions
and confrontations. It would not be wise for leaders to goad
one another into conflicts, for tempers can suddenly escalate
out of control. On the positive side, this period can witness
records being broken in sports, and it can coincide with
many opportunities for fun and enjoyment. So the message
is… enjoy yourself, but don’t take foolish risks.
This is a time of potentially great danger but also great
fun. For traders, there are apt to be large price swings,
so this can be an extremely profitable – or dangerous – time
for short-term trading, in almost all financial markets.
Announcement: Forecasts for 2005 books will remian available
at $39.95 (plus $5.00 postage USA and Canada, or $12.00 elsewhere),
while supplies last. These may be ordered through our website
at www.mmacycles.com (click the banner on ORDERS or BOOKS).
Or you can order via email at ordersmma@msn.com, or by fax
at 1-248-427-1994, or by phone at 1-248-626-3034.
Disclaimer
and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is
not to predict the future movement
of various financial
markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman
Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not
a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those
cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating
this column from English into a non-English language. This
weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader
on the relationship between astrological factors and collective
human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this
report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock
and financial markets throughout the world in the past week,
and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author’s understanding
of how these signatures will likely affect human activity
in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this
from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at
the military, political, economic, and even financial markets
of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be
made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is
to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological
climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The
hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological
dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events
and hence financial markets of the day.
No
guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely
the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author
nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for
those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high
risk.
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