Greetings
once again from Melbourne, Australia, where I am participating
in the FAA (Federation of Australian Astrologers)
biennial conference at the University of Melbourne. Everything
is great here except for the fact that I cannot get online
with my own lap top computer. I have to use the university's
computer lab. And this means I am unable to download market
data through my own software programs. Thus this will be
another weekly column that will pertain to the "bigger
picture" instead of a review of the various world stock
indices I tend to focus on every week. I have, however, been
able to keep up with the U.S. and Japanese equity markets,
as well as precious metals and currencies.
The U.S. stock markets continued making new highs last week,
with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing up to 10,660.90
last Thursday. As long term subscribers to our services know,
my price target for the crest of the 4-year cycle is about
10,800 +/- 450. So, we are in the lower side of the price
target range already.
After suffering a rather sharp pullback the prior week,
the Euro currency started to recover again this last week.
From a low of 1.2331 on Monday, the Euro climbed all the
back to 1.2775 before retracing again to close the week at
1.2593. The all-time high occurred a week earlier at 1.2898.
As reported in our MMA Cycles Report market letter, I am
expecting a 2-8 month corrective decline in the Euro, and
rally in the U.S. Dollar. I see this decline as a buying
opportunity, within the framework of what I have been advising
in this weekly report since early December 2002. That is,
I think the Dollar is in the midst of a long-term decline,
and investors have been advised to place a percentage of
their investment monies into money market funds that are
denominated in Euros, Australian Dollars, and Canadian Dollars.
This advice has resulted in 25-40% gains in the past 13 months.
One company that allows you to this is Evergreen. But I don't
remember whether Evergreen is a bank or a mutual fund. Your
broker should know. If you have a sizable account ($250,000.00
or more), then major brokerage houses, like Smith Barney,
will do this transaction for you too.
Gold and Silver also declined with the foreign currencies
in the past two weeks. After reaching a 7-year high of $428.30
and $6.71 respectively back on January 6 and 12, Gold and
Silver fell back to 405 and 6.10 respectively in past couple
of days. The January 6 high was within one trading day of
our January 5 three-start geocosmic critical reversal date
The short-term geocosmic picture becomes activated again
January 29-February 2 when three signatures unfold. The first
is Venus in opposition to Jupiter this Thursday, January
29. This is only a Level 3 type of signature (weakest), but
it can indicate a period of overestimation in financial and
economic areas. It may indicate estimates of economic data
that is exaggerated and out of line with reality. When equity
prices rise into such an announcement, and then the data
turns out to be disappointing, those same prices can then
start a retreat.
However,
this is then followed by the presence of two Level 1 (strongest)
signatures. On February 1, Venus will form
a waxing square to Pluto. The next day, the Sun will form
a conjunction to Neptune. This latter signature has a very
high correlation to primary cycles, according to the studies
I reported in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume
3: Geocosmic Correlations to trading Cycles. Within an orb
of 9 trading days, the rate of frequency for primary cycles
has been 75%. The probability of a minimum 4% change of direction
within only 4 trading days has been 79%. Thus Sun-Neptune
conjunctions must be watched carefully for the end of multi-week
trends, and the beginning of new multi-week trends. From
an interpretive point of view, Sun-Neptune signatures generally
correlate with a shift of collective attentive away from
illusion, and onto reality. Neptune represents the urge to
see the best in things, to wish for the best. When this altruistic
and hopeful period ends, it sometimes seems like the burst
of a bubble. Oftentimes hard core data is in conflict with
popular belief or assumption about "the way that things
are." It is frequently a time of rumors as well, and
these may not pan out to be accurate later on. With Venus-Pluto
in square the day before, these rumors or false assumptions
may have something to do with interest rates and debt markets.
Perhaps central banks finally acknowledge that there is indeed
a threat of inflation, and interest rates may have to rise
soon.
As many
of you know, this is what we have been anticipating for
some time, ever since Saturn went into Cancer (last June),
and especially with the downside of the Saturn-Pluto cycle.
From the conjunction (1982) to the opposition (2002) of Saturn
and Pluto, interest rates tend to decline, economies tend
to prosper, and governments tend to balance their budgets.
It is a good time to invest, and the name of the game is "Capital
Appreciation." But from the opposition to the conjunction
(2002-2020), the opposite happens. Government surpluses turn
back to deficit spending, interest rates rise, stock markets
are stagnant, and economies struggle. It is not a favorable
investment climate, and the name of the game is "Protection
of Capital." One must learn to be a saver again, or
invest in one's own activities and business. This cycle has
been remarkably accurate in the major Western world economies
for the past 200+ years.
Our regular column will resume next week. In the meantime,
all the best to everyone.
Disclaimer
and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is
not to predict the future movement
of various financial
markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman
Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not
a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those
cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating
this column from English into a non-English language. This
weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader
on the relationship between astrological factors and collective
human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this
report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock
and financial markets throughout the world in the past week,
and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author’s understanding
of how these signatures will likely affect human activity
in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this
from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at
the military, political, economic, and even financial markets
of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be
made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is
to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological
climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The
hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological
dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events
and hence financial markets of the day.
No
guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely
the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author
nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for
those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high
risk.
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