Last
week witnessed several – but not all - of the
world’s stock indices continuing to make new highs
for their new primary cycle, which in most cases are less
than 4 weeks old. But most of them have still not taken out
their highs of the prior primary cycle registered in June
or early July. This is still a market climate in which prices
could go either sharply higher or lower as we come closer
and closer to the strongest geocosmic signature of the year.
That would be the opposition between Jupiter and Uranus,
which occurs on August 29. Within 12 trading days, there
is an 80+% correlation to primary or greater cycles in U.S.
stock indices, as demonstrated in The Ultimate Book on Stock
Market Timing Volume 3: geocosmic Correlations to Trading
Cycles.
In
the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Averages soared
on Friday to close at their highest level since the
June 17 intraday high of 9352. The close this week was 9284.60.
Yet the NASDAQ has made a new high for the year the previous
week. But it did not make another new high this week, while
the DJIA did exceed its previous week’s high, so once
again we see a case of Intermarket Bearish Divergence between
the two indices. However, until prices close below their
lows of July 1, we cannot rule out the possibility that the
market is bullish, and each index will yet make new highs
within this new primary cycle.
Similar
divergences were again noted in the stock indices of other
parts of the world. In Europe, the German DAX index
did not take out the high of the prior week, which was its
highest price of this year. The London FTSE index, however,
did make a new high for this new cycle last week, as it hit
4155.20 on Thursday. But this was not a new for the year.
The Swiss Stock index fell just short of a new high for this
cycle last week, as well as for the year. But the Netherlands
AEX index made a new high for both this cycle and for this
year. So again we see a lot of non-confirming signals for
many related markets. The thing we have to keep in mind though,
is that this is the early stage of a new primary cycle in
most of these indices. And the early stage of any cycle is
usually bullish. So all of these bearish divergences could
fall by the wayside as the new primary cycle continues to
push prices higher. And it may do this right into the Jupiter-Uranus
opposition – if it is to correlate with a significant
crest.
In the Pacific Rim, we note that the Japanese Nikkei fell
to a major cycle trough last Tuesday as it recorded 9406.
This is a modest drop from its 10,070 high for the year that
was achieved on July 10. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong made
its weekly high on Tuesday at 10,203, which was slightly
below its high for the year attained on July 16 at 10,237.
The All Ordinaries index of Australia closed the week at
3081.30, just off a new cycle high of 3084.40 recorded also
on Friday. But this too was below the crest of its previous
primary cycle achieved June 17.
The U.S. Dollar fell back this week, as the Euro, Swiss
Franc, and Gold prices especially recovered smartly from
their lows of the prior week. In fact Gold prices were up
over $20.00 from their lows of the prior week, while Silver
soared from 465 the previous Friday to 518 in the December
contract in the middle of last week.
On
the geopolitical front, the United States leadership claimed
many victories last week with both the capture of
key Iraqi “most wanted” men, and the killing
of Saddam Hussein’s two sons, Uday and Qusay. According
to the White House, this confirms that the regime of Saddam
Hussein is truly over, a fear that was said to be responsible
for the reticence of Iraqi citizens to help American efforts
to rebuilt the country since the war ended. Now we will see
if this makes a real difference, and also if this is the
beginning of the effort to actually locate and capture Saddam
Hussein himself. In America, the stock market welcomed this
news, as each announcement of an important Iraqi capture
or killing was followed by a powerful rally.
Astrologically,
there is an important signature unfolding this week. It
is known as Mars turning retrograde, an event
that commences at 3:34 AM, Tuesday, Eastern Daylight Time.
It will remain retrograde until September 27. During the
entire time of its retrograde motion, Mars will be in the
first 10 degrees of Pisces, which is significant. Mars is
the principle of assertion, or even aggression. It rules
military action. When it is retrograde, it usually does not
bode well for those who would be in the role of the aggressor.
Whoever starts a conflict tends to either lose, or experience
great struggle, due to miscalculation. Think of Argentina
invading the Falkland Islands in the early 1980’s,
which took place under a retrograde Mars. Furthermore, the
principle of Pisces is the opposite of aggression. If anything,
it is withdrawn, passive, and strives for peace.
So
for the next two months, we have this principle of “passive-aggressive,” “start,
but don’t finish,” “approach-avoidance,” and “blame
and deny,” present throughout the world. It is probably
a favorable time for initiating new meetings – or even
treaties - amongst governments or people who truly wish for
world peace, and an end to military aggression. But it may
also be a period in which such initiative could be very badly
misunderstood, or even undermined, by those who claim to
want peace, but do not really wish it at the core of their
essence. One must be very discerning as to who and what to
really trust during this period. It is a time when real healing
can take place, or a time where there is initial promise
for such, but then the trust factor is violated and great
disillusionment or disappointment results instead. I would
watch for this dynamic to be present in the peace process
of the Middle East, between Israel and her neighbors, now.
As
far as stock markets are concerned, the period surrounding
the date of Mars retrograde (July 29) is generally not
very
important in regards to trend reversals. There is only a
30% correlation to primary cycles unfolding nearby to this
phenomenon, which is one of the lowest correlations of all
geocosmic signatures we study. The Mars direct period (September
27) has a much more powerful historical relationship to the
ending of old cycles and beginning of new ones. However,
the following week (August 4-12) does have geocosmic signatures
correlating with potentially strong reversals in U.S. (and
other world) stock indices. The most important will be the
Sun-Neptune opposition of August 4. It is possible that Mars
retrograde may seem important this time due to its closeness
to the Sun-Neptune opposition just 6 days afterwards. But
only the later is a Level 1 signature by our studies. Sun-Neptune
in opposition, and Mars retrograde in Pisces…. it sounds
like a period that may be rife for a lot of rumors, many
of which may be intentionally initiated for questionable
motives, and then denied. But once again, with “Big
Daddy” Saturn resting firmly in Cancer for two years,
everyone is looking for accountability and responsibility.
This is a time when those who have questionable motives may
make critical errors in judgment, and these errors (and motives)
will have to be accounted for. Maybe Saddam Hussein is captured
during this period. Maybe more discoveries related to corporate
or government fraud comes out during this period too.
Disclaimer: No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report
is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are
solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the
author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all
for those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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