The cycle is different in Europe, however. Here, the lows
of October 10 were broken by the lows of March 12, 2003.
And one has to wonder whether the 4-year cycle in European
stocks began then, or is still unfolding with yet lower prices
to come in the next few weeks. Nevertheless, European indices
also fared well last week, with both the London FTSE and
Swiss Stock market indices registering new cycle highs on
Friday, exceeding their peaks of April 16. The FTSE closed
at 4096, up 25% from the 3277 low of March 12. The Swiss
market got as high as 4688 on Friday, which was slightly
above the previous high of 4675 of April 16. But this slightly
higher high in both markets was not matched by a higher stochastic
(momentum) reading, which might be a sign that these markets
are close to topping out. Besides the momentum divergence,
other signs of bearish divergence are now present by the
fact that neither the German DAX nor Netherlands AEX stock
indices registered new cycle highs last week. Highs in one
market but not in a related market is known as intramarket
bearish divergence, especially when it occurs in a time band
for a cycle top, or in a geocosmic critical reversal zone.
These later markets rallied to close near their highs of
the week, but the 2982 close on the DAX is still off from
the 3068 high of May 7. The AEX closed at 280.60, which is
down from the 295.60 high of April 16.
In the Far East, the most recent lows in the Nikkei and
Hang Seng were recorded in late April. The cycle is much
younger here than in either America or Europe, and thus have
more possibility of continuing their recent bullish signs.
The Hang Seng of Hong Kong reached a high of 9587 last Thursday,
before closing the week at 9487. This is up 15% from the
8332 low of April 25. The Japanese Nikkei index closed at
8425, down slightly from the high of the week at 8462, which
also occurred on Friday. Back on April 28, the Nikkei traded
at a new 20+ year low of 7603. As stated before, the Nikkei
is due (overdue) for several long-term cycle lows, including
a 54-, 18-, and 9-year cycle trough. My bias is that the
indices of Pacific Rim will lead the way of all world stock
indices for the major part of this decade. Of course, it
will take some time to confirm whether or not the lows of
late April were indeed the beginning of several new long-term
cycles. If so, these indices will be in new bull markets
for several months, and even years.
As good as everything looked on the charts last week, there
is concern not just from the perspective of some divergence
technical and chart pattern studies, but also from our leading
indicators, which is the field of geocosmic signatures. On
Monday, June 2, the third and final passage of Jupiter in
opposition to Neptune will take place. This is a Level One
signature with a C/S value of 9.33 within 8 trading days.
Level One signatures haves the strongest correlation to the
completion of primary or greater cycle troughs or crests.
Anything with a C/S score over 9.20 qualifies as a Level
One type, as explained in The Ultimate Book on Stock
Market Timing Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading
Cycles.
And primary cycles are those that have a periodicity of approximately
18 weeks in most markets, as measured from trough (low) to
trough. The highest price between these troughs is known
as the crest of that cycle. Since the stock markets of America
and Europe have been rising for the past 10 weeks, and because
we are coming into yet another powerful cluster of geocosmic
signatures, we can assume that a primary cycle crest might
be forming as we complete this third passage of the unrealistically
euphoric Jupiter-Neptune opposition. As stated before, Jupiter
is the principle of exaggeration and hope, while Neptune
is principle of wishful thinking, but not usually clear-headed
or objective thinking. The market has been rising smartly,
and yet one has to ask if there really is a substantial basis
for this optimism? Will corporate earnings really meet expectations?
Will corporations start to hire new workers again, or will
they continue to cut staff and costs? Will old alliances
between nations (especially America) that have been strained
recently, be amended?
But
the Jupiter-Neptune opposition is not the only powerful
signature in effect this week. On Tuesday, Saturn will begin
a very important 2-year trek through the tropical constellation
of Cancer. In astrology, Saturn in Cancer is considered its
detriment, because Saturn rules Capricorn, the sign opposite
Cancer. Whereas Jupiter is the principle of expansion (and
greed), Saturn represents the principle of contraction (and
fear). In Cancer, those principles are likely to be more
evident, especially as Jupiter now moves out of aspect to
Neptune. Delusion and euphoria give way to serious concerns
about reality. The hope that “All will be forgiven
or forgotten” will give way to demands of accountability – especially
from countries or leaders that are Cancer-born, such as the
United States and President George Bush. Last week, I wrote
about my experience in Europe, where I am currently lecturing.
I pointed out the huge chasm that exists between our (Americans)
perception of how the world sees our leadership, and how
the other countries really do view us. It is much, much worse
than the vast majority of Americans believe. We believe we
were victorious in an important war against an evil regime,
and our (America’s) successful effort to rid the world
of this tyrant should be applauded, or at least appreciated.
I can tell you from my experiences here in Europe, that our “war
effort” is neither applauded nor appreciated. As one
reader expressed this week, “I do not believe the rest
of the world viewed the recent event carried out by America
under Bush as "victorious", nor do I believe the
event that took place in Iraq to be viewed as a "war" by
most of the world. Outside of America, the event was viewed
as an "attack", by a country that feels it alone
is entitled to own weapons of mass destruction, against a
rather ill equipped nation, that was in no position to defend
itself (as the world clearly saw).” This is not an
uncommon view that I find here.
How
will these differences in perception affect the world
equity markets this week? Well, it may not be that evident
in one week. But with Jupiter leaving Neptune by opposition
(unreality) on Monday, and with Saturn entering into Cancer
on Tuesday for two years (reality and accountability),
I think America may begin to feel the impact of its actions
in ways that it does not expect. And how this effects the
future direction of America’s currency and its equity
markets in comparison to others around the world is a concern.
For now, I believe the recent rallies in world equities
markets may be in for a shock, or a reversal of sorts,
in the next
1-2 weeks. Besides the two major signatures referred to
above, Uranus will also turn stationary retrograde on Saturday,
June 7, and Sun will form an opposition to Pluto on June
9. These too are Level One signatures suggesting a primary
cycle crest is possible within 8 trading days of their
formation.