It
was quite a week. If you live in, or watch closely the
politics of the United States, you would
have noticed
that several members of George W. Bush’s cabinet had
resigned early this week, less than 2 weeks after the election.
The most notable of these, and perhaps the most moderate
member of Bush’s cabinet during his first term, was
General Colin Powell. Although so many resignations, and
especially that of Secretary of State Powell may have surprised
most of the public, those who study astrology probably were
not surprised. After all, President Bush is currently experiencing
the station of Saturn in conjunction to his own natal Saturn
at 26 degrees of Cancer. Astrologers are very familiar with
the 29-year “Saturn Return” cycle in one’s
life. It is a time when one reassesses his/her direction
in life, especially involving work. It is a time when many
relationships, as well as one’s goals in life, are
likely to go through many changes. It can coincide with a
period of intense demands, feelings of being abandoned, and/or
a sense of completion (or ending) of an important phase of
one’s life. It is unlikely, however, that Bush relates
so much to the latter point, as his programs are far from
completed.
There
were also several other surprise reports by the end of
the week. Friday’s edition of the Wall Street Journal
had two interesting stories on the very front page, which
relate to the downside of the Saturn-Pluto cycle discussed
at length in previous editions of this column. One headline
states “Congress Approved a whopping jump in the federal
debt limit.” By a very narrow margin, the House passed
a 37% increase in the Federal debt since Bush became president,
to a new record level. But the investment community didn’t
seem to blink an eye, for even with this record spending,
the U.S. debt is still a smaller percentage of the GDP than
it was in the early 1990’s. However the rest of the
sane people in the U.S.A. will note that it is no longer
as low a percentage as it was in 2001 when Bush took office.
The trend does not look promising at all, and this passage
by the House portends room for spending on a lot of special
interests.
The
other interesting story related to the Saturn-Pluto down
phase was that “The IRS increased its audits of
high-income taxpayers by 40%.” Now the reason this
is interesting is because of one of Bush’s campaign
pledges to overhaul the Federal Income Tax, and – by
deduction – the IRS As well. You see, one of the cornerstones
of Saturn and Pluto moving from position to conjunction (2002-2020)
is that taxes tend to increase, not decrease. And yet President
Bush has already reduced taxes considerably since taking
office, and has promised to continue slashing individual
taxes. But at the same time, he ahs also made one of his
priorities for this new term to be the transformation of
the social security system. He knows (I think) that by the
time we get to end of this decade, a huge number of the American
population – known as “Baby Boomers” – will
start retirement. They will start withdrawing from their
Social Security savings, right in the middle of this Saturn-Pluto
down swing (at the waning square), at the same Uranus will
form a T-Square formation to both (2008-2010). Bush knows
that with so many “Baby Boomers” retiring, that
there will be a crisis paying out their social security checks,
unless some drastic changes are applied very soon. He knows
these reforms will be painful.
And
what sort of painful, drastic changes will have to take
place in order to make good on his promise
that Baby
Boomers will indeed be able to collect from the social security?
I don’t think it takes a rocket scientist to figure
out that the younger working generations will have to pay
more social security taxes in order to make sure the system
is solvent. But wait a minute. That means…. there will
have to be an increase in social security taxes by the end
of this decade? Uh huh. The question is not whether to raise
taxes or not to insure the system stays afloat, but when
do you raise them? And what is the danger of waiting longer
and longer to raise these taxes? You can start to deal with
the issue now, as Bush has implied we must do, and that will
probably drive the stock market into a prolonged bear market
that will last most of the duration of his current term in
office (through 2008). Or you can wait, and let the next
President deal with it, by which time it will probably be
a major crisis, and lead to a bear market that will last
most of the next decade, until Saturn returns to conjunction
to Pluto in January 2020. I don’t think Bush can have
it both ways. He can’t solve the looming social security
crisis AND not raise social security taxes during his last
term in office. If he raises taxes, he presides over a very
difficult economic environment in about 1-3 years. If he
doesn’t he passes the responsibility off to the next
president, who will then blame Bush for not tackling the
problem when it could have been addressed a little less painfully.
Either way, a difficult economic time for America looms ahead.
It is either down into Saturn square Pluto in 2008-2010,
and building a foundation for greater growth during the next
decade. Or else we spend as much as we can through the rest
of this decade, and suffer a far worse recession (depression)
through most of the next decade, in to the conjunction of
Saturn-Pluto in 2020.
And
finally, on Friday, Alan Greenspan spooked the market by
saying what we all knew to be true. According
to CNBC,
the FED Chairman stated “Look Out! They are going up!” He
referred to interest rates. And on that announcement, the
U.S. stock market promptly ended its 4-week rally and sold
off sharply. The sell-off couldn’t have begun at a
more astrologically telling time. After all, this is the
middle of the huge geocosmic cluster zone of November 4-December
5. The midpoint is indeed right now. Not only were stock
markets of the world making new multi-month and even multi
year highs going into this period, but so too are Gold and
foreign currencies (against the Dollar). It is indeed an
almost perfect time to commence a trend reversal, according
to these celestial signatures.
During the past week, both the German DAX and the London
FTSE stock index made a new two-week high, soaring above
4180 and 4800 respectively. And both the Netherlands AEX
and Swiss stock markets made new 4-month highs, rising to
345.90 and 5720 respectively early in the week.
In
the Pacific Rim, the Australian All Ordinaries made yet
another new all-time high, rising above 3900 for
the first
time ever last week. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong is testing
14,000 as of last week for the first time since March of
2004. But the Japanese Nikkei is still well off its yearly
high, reaching only 11,268 last Tuesday before falling back
below 10,900 by Friday’s close.
In
the Americas, the DJIA crossed 10,600 for the first time
in several months, but it was still
a shade below its yearly
high of 10,753 of February 19. And following Greenspan’s
warning, it fell back to close the week at 10,456. The NADASQ
Composite did soar to a new 2-year high, up to 2112.20 on
Wednesday, before softening into Friday’s close. And
the same with Argentinean Merval stock index, which exploded
to a new 8-year high at 1339.64 on November 8. But by last
Monday, it was all the way back to 1216.29. Are the highs
for the move over? Might be! And while the stock markets
fell, Gold rose to a new 16-year high, and the Euro to a
new all-time high, against the Dollar. Both markets look
like they are in runaway blow offs. But again, this is a
huge time band of geocosmic clusters, and with Mercury about
to go retrograde in about week, no trend is likely to remain
intact throughout this period, which last through December
5. Our biggest concern, however, is the stock market, and
the belief that the down side of the Saturn-Pluto cycle is
about to resume. It could be now, and it could be yet in
a couple more months. With long-term cycles, you know they
are coming. But sometimes pinpointing the exact top is not
an easy art.
I
deal with this subject in great detail in this year’s
Forecast for 2005 book. Order it now to make sure you get
it on time. It might be your best investment of the holiday
season J. And it will make a great gift for that special
someone who watches financial markets, and maybe needs a
wake up call to what astrology has to say about the current
times we live in.
Announcement: You can now pre-order next
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Oil markets. Plus it provides astrological insights into
the U.S. and World Economy, as well as the USA Presidency.
It even has a section on the year ahead for each of the
12 signs of the zodiac, by Raymond Merriman! As always,
this book is written between October and November of the
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Disclaimer
and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is
not to predict the future movement
of various financial
markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman
Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not
a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those
cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating
this column from English into a non-English language. This
weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader
on the relationship between astrological factors and collective
human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this
report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock
and financial markets throughout the world in the past week,
and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author’s understanding
of how these signatures will likely affect human activity
in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this
from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at
the military, political, economic, and even financial markets
of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be
made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is
to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological
climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The
hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological
dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events
and hence financial markets of the day.
No
guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely
the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author
nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for
those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high
risk.
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