The “Great Libra Ingress” and its positive impact upon stocks markets
around the world took effect this past week. Almost all markets completed their
corrective declines on Tuesday, September 28, as the last of the 4 planets
(Mercury) made its ingress into Libra. To briefly review, the Sun moved into
Libra on September 22, followed by Jupiter on September 25, Mars on September
26, and Mercury September 28. During that period, nearly all the world’s
major indices declined, after forming significant crests during the prior three
trading days (September 17-21). This, by the way, is a very rare and remarkable
cosmic event. I do not know that it has happened before.
In
Europe, the FTSE Index of London continued to be the stellar
performer,
soaring to 4663.90 on Friday after completing
a 6-week cycle trough on Tuesday at 4528.10. The high surpassed
the major cycle crest of 4630.70, realized on September 22
when the Libra ingress began. So far, only the FTSE has made
a new cycle high in the European markets since the primary
bottoms of August 13-16. The DAX of Germany came close, as
it closed at 3995, just 5 points off its September 17 high
of 4000. Its low was also posted on Tuesday, September 28,
at 3848.30. The Netherlands AEX bottomed Tuesday at 321.90,
following its prior high of 335.90 on September 17. On Friday,
it closed at 330.90. The Swiss stock index closed at 5579,
up considerably from Tuesday’s cycle low of 5428.30.
It too is not far from its recent high of 5621.40, recorded
on September 22. Each of these indices looks poised to continue
higher this coming week.
In
the Pacific Rim, we note that the Australian All Ordinaries
continued making new all-time highs, reaching 3683 on Friday,
after a temporary low of 3623 last Monday. Japan’s
Nikkei Index bottomed last Tuesday at 10,738, then rallied
to new weekly highs of 10,987 on Friday. Hong Kong’s
Hang Seng index seemed somewhat subdued. After bottoming
at 12,884 on Tuesday, it could only recover back to 13,120
on Friday, still a bit off from its 13,357 cycle high back
on September 22. The technical picture on each of these indices,
however, does not look as strong as the European indices.
In
America, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bottomed at 9977.90
on
Tuesday, September 28. This fits with our comments
made last week, which stated, “If the market is going
to favor George Bush, then it has to probably hold this 10,000
support area that is being tested now (at least 9900), and
start its next push up. Can it do it? Yes.” Don’t
count George W. Bush out yet (not that too many readers of
this column have). By Friday, the DJIA closed at 10,192.70,
close to high of the day and week at 10,198.60. But the action
was even more impressive in the NASDAQ Composite, which soared
to its highest level since the primary cycle trough of August
13, closing at 1942.20. That surpassed its previous high
of 1925.90 on September 21. However, the DJIA is far from
its previous high of 10,362 recorded back on September 7.
Thus we may be seeing the beginning stages of an Intermarket
bearish divergence set up. This week will be critical. If
the DJIA cannot exceed that previous high, and the market
closes down on the week, this could bode poorly for not only
the stock market, but also George Bush’s chances of
re-election, according to the “Pre-Presidential Election
Year” cycle indicator that I have written about extensively
herein. More on this in a moment. Elsewhere, the Argentina
Merval Index also continued soaring all week, to a new multi-week
high of 1166.24 on Friday. This market has now exceeded our
forecast of a correction following the new cycle high of
the previous Friday when our solar-lunar phasing indicated
a possible top. I am not too worried about that, because
lunar cycles are not as strong as geocosmic (planetary) cycles.
And the “Great Libra Ingress” is a powerful combination
of geocosmic factors. As we saw, they did indeed correspond
with a powerful surge in stock markets across the globe.
Furthermore they also coincided with sharp rallies in precious
metals and many currencies versus the U.S. Dollar. Gold is
back to $420.00/ounce. Just three weeks ago it was below
400.00. And Silver is again testing $7.00, when three weeks
ago it was testing $6.00. That’s a gain of nearly 15%.
For
the coming week, we note two important signatures. On Tuesday,
October 5, the Sun will form a waning trine to
Neptune. This is a Level 2 type, with a 61% correlation to
primary or greater cycles within 12 trading days, and 52%
within 8 days. And on Wednesday, October 6, Venus will be
in opposition to Uranus, which is a Level 1 type (most powerful).
This signature has a 71% correlation to primary or greater
cycles within 10 trading days. With the NASDAQ Composite
and FTSE and All Ordinaries all making new cycle highs unconfirmed
by other indices in their regions, we need to be careful
that a top of importance could be forming this week. But
sometimes aspects to Uranus do not mean reversals. Sometimes
it means a breakout of previously defined support or resistance
zones. Given that I still believe that George W. Bush will
win the election (based on my interpretation of the transits
to the USA chart), then it becomes very likely (in my opinion)
that the crest that occurred between the “Pre-Presidential
Election Year” cycle trough of May 12-17 (9852 in DJIA)
and August 13 (9783) will be taken out. That crest occurred
in a double top formation as Venus turned direct in late
June, at 10,471-10,487. If George W. Bush wins the election
as I anticipate, and the DJIA does NOT test the 10,450-10,500
area, then it will be the first time since World War Two
that an incumbent has won when the PPEY has been taken out
after May (preceding the election),without the crest also
being taken out before the election. Something like this
did happen in 1940. Then, like now, matters of national security
were more important to voters than the economy.
I
would like to thank all the readers who send me such supportive
letters last week, following my editorializing
about this U.S. election. It seems that my prayers were answered.
Not only did the two candidates give a good debate of substance
on Thursday evening, but the news media gave a good amount
of coverage to my concerns about resurrecting the draft in
the United States. Spokespeople of both parties stated that
their candidate had no intention of bringing back the draft.
Yet there were numerous articles on the major news wires
reporting the lack of military personnel available to continue
the war on terror at this rate. Many of these reports clearly
pointed out that something must be done to replace and refresh
the current U.S. combatants not only in Iraq, but also at
home and in other countries that may become “crisis
spots” in the near future. Renewing the draft, they
concluded, may be the only way to continue this war for much
longer. And even the president admits that this War on Terror
is likely to last for many more years. So even though some
spokespeople for the each party say their candidate would
not reinstitute the draft, I would still like to hear each
candidate publicly say something like: “Read my lips.
No new draft.” It is one thing to have a spokesperson
say it won’t happen. It is quite another for each candidate
to formally state it.
Longer-term,
my outlook is that there will be surprising improvement
on the conflict in Iraq in the next year. I believe
it will go much better than anyone is predicting right now,
and there will be a much welcomed sense of reduced conflicts
beginning to take hold in the Middle East. We will see progress
in Iraq. The stock markets will like this. Political leaders
will exhibit great pride (and even arrogance) about their
achievements. However, unless these gains are taken seriously
and built upon, it could all fall apart into a greater mess
than ever by the end of next year (after summer) and into
2006, and even through the remainder of the decade. There
is a window of opportunity to build a real international
coalition that both Kerry and Bush implied was necessary
in their debate this past week. Let’s hope that they
have the leadership to follow through upon this promise,
and not just be satisfied with “early positive returns” and
think the job is done.
And finally, the debate. Not only did the “Great Libra Ingress” coincide
with the end of the corrective decline and a reversal upwards in most stock
indices in the world, but it may also have coincided in a shift of sentiment
in regards to the U.S. Presidential election. Most pundits believed that the
debate would offer incumbent George W. Bush a chance to deliver the “knockout
punch,” and coast home to victory. He was riding high in the polls, and
all he had to do was appear confident and “presidential.” Instead,
according to many news reports and “letters to editors” from readers
of many of the nation’s leading newspapers, he came across very hesitant,
unsure of himself, whining, and not at all very presidential. He did not deliver
the “knockout punch,” and instead John Kerry is back in the race.
If Kerry wins the election, we will look back at the “Great Libra Ingress” and
see that it was the turning point in American (and maybe world) opinion of
these two candidates. Instead of George W. Bush being viewed as the one to
lead the U.S.A. at a time of crisis in national security, the public opinion
may be shifting that it is John Kerry who can best provide this sense greater
national security. I believe the U.S. will vote this election more on the basis
of fear than confidence, and I thought this favored George W. Bush. But after
the debate, the American people may begin to have a different opinion. All
the polls clearly show that John Kerry dominated George Bush in that debate
by a large margin. That makes this week’s coming debate a very critical
one for George Bush. If he gives a repeat performance of last week, Bush may
find he loses the lead, and possibly the election. And we will look back and
see that the turning point was right near the time of “The Great Libra
Ingress,” a confluence of geocosmic signatures that coincided with a
major shift in collective conscience, with the result of changing the direction
of the geopolitical world.
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Disclaimer
and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is
not to predict the future movement
of various financial
markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman
Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not
a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those
cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating
this column from English into a non-English language. This
weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader
on the relationship between astrological factors and collective
human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this
report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock
and financial markets throughout the world in the past week,
and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures
that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic
factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even
month, or even years, and the author’s understanding
of how these signatures will likely affect human activity
in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this
from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at
the military, political, economic, and even financial markets
of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be
made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is
to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological
climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The
hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological
dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events
and hence financial markets of the day.
No
guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being
made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely
the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author
nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for
those individual decisions. Reader should understand
that futures and options trading are considered high
risk.
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